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Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Trevor Richards

367th out of 436 (Worst 16%)

Trevor Richards

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

250th out of 568 (Best 45%)

Strong advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 36.9% chance of reaching base vs Trevor Richards, which is 1.8% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 3.4% higher than batters facing Richards.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	36.9%	19.2%	3.2%	5.1%	10.9%	17.7%	25.6%
Ozuna	+1.8	-3.7	-0.2	-0.3	-3.3	+5.5	-1.2
Richards	+3.4	-0.9	+0.4	+0.3	-1.6	+4.3	+2.9

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Trevor Richards is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Trevor Richards throws a 4-seam fastball 48% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

48%

Changeup (R)

40%

Curve (R)

9% of Trevor Richards's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 9%

+3%

Meatball 8%

+2%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Weak Challenge 3%

-5%

40% of Trevor Richards's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a B grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Offspeed (R) 40%

+28%

Very Slow Velo 31%

+17%

Medium Break 36%

+17%

Extreme Ride 17%

+14%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Trevor Richards strikes out 19.0% of the batters he faces, which is 5.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +5.1% 3%

Walk +2.3% +0.4% 41%

In Play -4.3% -5.6% 39%

On Base +4.2% -2.7% 31%

Hit +1.9% -3.2% 14%

Single -0.6% -1.5% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -1.5% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -0.2%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Trevor Richards induces Standard Grounders at a 25.7% rate, which is 8.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -8.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -0.3% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -0.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -1.1% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -0.7% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -0.8% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% +0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +9.0% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +1.9%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 20.3% of batted balls allowed by Trevor Richards are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -2.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +1.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +4.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% -4.0%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 15.1% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% -4.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% -1.0% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -3.5% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -2.3% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% +1.4% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% +3.7% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% +2.2% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +4.5%

Marcell Ozuna has 2 plate appearances against Trevor Richards in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with 2 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-26	Strikeout
2023-05-14	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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