Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for John Schreiber

394th out of 436 (Worst 10%)

John Schreiber

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

289th out of 568 (Worst 49%)

Strong advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 36.1% chance of reaching base vs John Schreiber, which is 0.9% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 4.0% higher than batters facing Schreiber.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	36.1%	23.7%	2.6%	5.7%	15.4%	12.4%	25.0%
Ozuna	+0.9	+0.7	-0.8	+0.3	+1.2	+0.2	-1.8
Schreiber	+4.0	+1.8	+0.4	+0.7	+0.7	+2.2	+2.2

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. John Schreiber is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

John Schreiber throws a 4-seam fastball 31% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

31%

Slider (R)

27%

Sinker (R)

22%

Changeup (R)

Curve (R)

14% of John Schreiber's pitches are classified as Fringe Misss, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

32% of John Schreiber's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 32%

+19%

Large Break 24%

+19%

Very Slow Velo 27%

+13%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. John Schreiber strikes out 16.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +2.0% 3%

Walk +2.3% +2.4% 41%

In Play -4.3% -4.5% 39%

On Base +4.2% -0.8% 31%

Hit +1.9% -3.3% 14%

Single -0.6% -1.3% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -0.8% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -1.2%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. John Schreiber induces Standard Grounders at a 42.1% rate, which is 7.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% +7.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% +0.0% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -2.1% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -3.6% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -1.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -2.2% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -0.5% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +1.8%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 24.8% of batted balls allowed by John Schreiber are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% +2.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +3.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -3.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -2.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +0.5%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 9.0% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% +6.8% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% +2.1% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% +0.1% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -4.7% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -1.2% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -2.5% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% -1.5% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +1.0%

Marcell Ozuna has 3 plate appearances against John Schreiber in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.02	0.00	0.01	0.01			0.006

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-07-25	Double Play
2022-08-09	Strikeout
2022-05-11	Flyout		1%		98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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