Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for M. Liberatore

409th out of 436 (Worst 6%)

Matthew Liberatore

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

297th out of 568 (Worst 48%)

Strong advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 35.0% chance of reaching base vs Matthew Liberatore, which is 0.2% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 4.6% higher than batters facing Liberatore.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.0%	23.6%	3.8%	5.3%	14.4%	11.5%	28.7%
Ozuna	-0.2	+0.6	+0.5	-0.1	+0.2	-0.8	+1.8
Liberatore	+4.6	+0.5	+1.1	+0.2	-0.8	+4.1	+3.7

Marcell Ozuna is worse vs left-handed pitching. Matthew Liberatore is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Matthew Liberatore throws a 4-seam fastball 34% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

34%

Slider (L)

19%

Sinker (L)

19%

Curve (L)

15%

Changeup (L)

11% of Matthew Liberatore's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Non-Competitive 12%

Fringe Miss 12%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Meatball 3%

-2%

23% of Matthew Liberatore's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 13% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 23%

+13%

Extreme Drop 16%

+11%

Medium Break 28%

+9%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Matthew Liberatore strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% -2.6% 3%

Walk +2.3% -0.6% 41%

In Play -4.3% +3.2% 39%

On Base +4.2% +2.0% 31%

Hit +1.9% +2.5% 14%

Single -0.6% +1.0% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% +1.5% 3%

Home Run +2.7% +0.1%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Matthew Liberatore induces Standard Grounders at a 35.6% rate, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% +1.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% +0.2% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -0.7% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -1.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -0.2% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +0.9%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 23.3% of batted balls allowed by Matthew Liberatore are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% 0.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% -1.0%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 9.7% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% +1.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% -0.4% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% +1.4% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -5.7% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% +1.4% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -1.7% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% +0.6% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +2.4%

Marcell Ozuna has 4 plate appearances against Matthew Liberatore in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	4	1	0	1	0	1	0	0.250
Expected From Contact →			0.93	0.00	0.76	0.17			0.233

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-26	Lineout		47%	15%	38%
2024-06-26	Strikeout
2022-07-07	Pop Out				99%
2022-07-07	Double		29%	2%	70%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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