Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Keegan Akin

331st out of 436 (Worst 24%)

Keegan Akin

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

527th out of 568 (Worst 7%)

Moderate advantage for Akin

Marcell Ozuna has a 28.7% chance of reaching base vs Keegan Akin, which is 6.5% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Akin.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.7%	19.4%	3.3%	5.5%	10.6%	9.3%	36.8%
Ozuna	-6.5	-3.5	0.0	+0.1	-3.6	-3.0	+10.0
Akin	+2.9	+0.3	+0.6	+0.5	-0.8	+2.6	+4.4

Marcell Ozuna is worse vs left-handed pitching. Keegan Akin is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Ozuna has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Keegan Akin throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

56%

Slider (L)

25%

Changeup (L)

16%

15% of Keegan Akin's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Meatball 7%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Weak Challenge 5%

-4%

47% of Keegan Akin's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 25% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 47%

+25%

High Ride 32%

+22%

Medium Fast Velo 29%

+13%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Keegan Akin strikes out 18.7% of the batters he faces, which is 5.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +5.4% 3%

Walk +2.3% -2.5% 41%

In Play -4.3% -2.9% 39%

On Base +4.2% -7.0% 31%

Hit +1.9% -4.5% 14%

Single -0.6% -2.5% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -2.1% 3%

Home Run +2.7% +0.0%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Keegan Akin induces Standard Grounders at a 30.3% rate, which is 4.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -4.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% 0.0% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -3.1% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -0.6% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -0.8% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +3.9% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +4.0%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 22.9% of batted balls allowed by Keegan Akin are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% +2.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -2.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +0.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% -1.4%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 10.5% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% -1.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% +0.2% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -0.5% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -3.9% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% +2.2% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -0.9% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% +1.2% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +3.5%

Marcell Ozuna has 2 plate appearances against Keegan Akin in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.07	0.00	0.02	0.05			0.035

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-12	Strikeout
2023-05-05	GIDP		2%	5%	93%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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