Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Graham Ashcraft

424th out of 436 (Worst 3%)

Graham Ashcraft

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

24th out of 568 (Best 5%)

Extreme advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 42.1% chance of reaching base vs Graham Ashcraft, which is 6.9% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 5.3% higher than batters facing Ashcraft.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	42.1%	27.8%	2.7%	6.7%	18.4%	14.3%	16.7%
Ozuna	+6.9	+4.9	-0.6	+1.3	+4.2	+2.1	-10.2
Ashcraft	+5.3	+1.5	+0.5	+1.6	-0.6	+3.9	+0.3

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Graham Ashcraft is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Graham Ashcraft throws a Cutter 51% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

51%

Slider (R)

32%

Sinker (R)

15%

14% of Graham Ashcraft's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 14%

+6%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 12%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 2%

-5%

30% of Graham Ashcraft's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 30%

+21%

Just Gravity 30%

+17%

Minimal Break 24%

+14%

Fastball (R) 67%

+13%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Graham Ashcraft strikes out 10.6% of the batters he faces, which is 6.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% -6.0% 3%

Walk +2.3% -0.7% 41%

In Play -4.3% +6.7% 39%

On Base +4.2% +7.6% 31%

Hit +1.9% +8.3% 14%

Single -0.6% +4.2% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% +4.7% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -0.6%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Graham Ashcraft induces Standard Grounders at a 40.6% rate, which is 6.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% +6.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% +0.9% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% +0.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +1.0% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -1.5% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -3.6% 3%

Pop up +0.0% -0.4%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 22.9% of batted balls allowed by Graham Ashcraft are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -0.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +3.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -0.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% -1.4%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 9.0% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% +3.5% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% +1.2% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% +0.7% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% +0.6% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -2.0% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -2.5% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% -0.9% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% -0.8%

Marcell Ozuna has 3 plate appearances against Graham Ashcraft in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			1.64	0.11	0.85	0.68			0.548

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-06-24	Lineout	11%	43%	4%	42%
2023-06-24	Groundout			11%	89%
2023-06-24	Single		42%	53%	5%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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