Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Zac Gallen

340th out of 436 (Worst 22%)

Zac Gallen

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

437th out of 568 (Worst 23%)

Moderate advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 34.6% chance of reaching base vs Zac Gallen, which is 0.6% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 3.1% higher than batters facing Gallen.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.6%	19.3%	2.9%	4.3%	12.1%	15.3%	32.2%
Ozuna	-0.6	-3.6	-0.4	-1.1	-2.1	+3.0	+5.4
Gallen	+3.1	-0.7	+0.5	+0.0	-1.1	+3.8	+2.9

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Zac Gallen is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Ozuna has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Zac Gallen throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Kn-Curve (R)

23%

Changeup (R)

14%

Cutter (R)

11%

22% of Zac Gallen's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 22%

+2%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

25% of Zac Gallen's pitches are classified as Small Break Toward Third Base, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Break 25%

+17%

Extreme Drop 19%

+14%

Medium Fast Velo 23%

+8%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Zac Gallen strikes out 17.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +3.7% 3%

Walk +2.3% -0.5% 41%

In Play -4.3% -3.1% 39%

On Base +4.2% -2.1% 31%

Hit +1.9% -1.6% 14%

Single -0.6% -0.9% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -0.1%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Zac Gallen induces Standard Grounders at a 34.5% rate, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% +0.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% +2.5% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -0.1% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -0.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +1.0% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -0.9% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -0.2% 3%

Pop up +0.0% -1.5%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 26.8% of batted balls allowed by Zac Gallen are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -1.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -2.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +0.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +2.5%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 10.2% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 1.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% +0.4% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% +0.9% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% +0.1% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% +0.6% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -0.2% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -1.2% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% +0.4% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% -1.1%

Marcell Ozuna has 11 plate appearances against Zac Gallen in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 10 with 2 doubles and a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	11	10	4	0	2	2	2	1	0.400
Expected From Contact →			3.52	1.46	0.96	1.10			0.352

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-09	Single			40%	60%
2024-07-09	Double	92%	7%
2024-07-09	GIDP			19%	80%
2023-07-20	Flyout				99%
2023-07-20	Groundout		3%	11%	86%
2023-07-20	Lineout		36%	7%	57%
2023-06-04	Walk
2023-06-04	Single	53%	3%		44%
2022-05-30	Double		45%	33%	22%
2022-05-30	Strikeout
2022-05-30	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe