Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Luis Medina

423rd out of 436 (Worst 3%)

Luis Medina

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

131st out of 568 (Best 24%)

Extreme advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 37.1% chance of reaching base vs Luis Medina, which is 1.9% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 4.5% higher than batters facing Medina.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	37.1%	24.2%	3.7%	5.8%	14.7%	12.9%	20.7%
Ozuna	+1.9	+1.2	+0.3	+0.4	+0.5	+0.7	-6.2
Medina	+4.5	+2.2	+1.1	+0.6	+0.5	+2.4	+0.5

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Luis Medina is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Luis Medina throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

43%

Slider (R)

24%

Sinker (R)

13%

Curve (R)

11%

Changeup (R)

11% of Luis Medina's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

23% of Luis Medina's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 15% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 23%

+15%

Medium Break 30%

+10%

Medium Ride 23%

+9%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Luis Medina strikes out 12.6% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% -2.6% 3%

Walk +2.3% +3.1% 41%

In Play -4.3% -0.5% 39%

On Base +4.2% +3.8% 31%

Hit +1.9% +0.7% 14%

Single -0.6% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% +1.1% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -1.1%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Luis Medina induces Standard Grounders at a 31.6% rate, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -2.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% +2.2% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% +3.0% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -0.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +1.1% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -1.2% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -2.5% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +1.5%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 27.5% of batted balls allowed by Luis Medina are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% +0.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -6.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -0.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +3.2%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 12.5% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% +0.7% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% -0.6% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -1.2% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% +0.9% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -3.3% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% +1.0% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% +1.3% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +1.2%

Marcell Ozuna has 3 plate appearances against Luis Medina in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.87	0.00	0.01	0.86			0.436

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-02	Groundout			55%	45%
2024-06-02	Groundout		1%	31%	68%
2024-06-02	Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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