Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Ryan Helsley

398th out of 436 (Worst 9%)

Ryan Helsley

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

507th out of 568 (Worst 11%)

Moderate advantage for Helsley

Marcell Ozuna has a 31.3% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Helsley, which is 3.9% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 4.1% higher than batters facing Helsley.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.3%	21.4%	2.6%	4.4%	14.4%	9.9%	33.7%
Ozuna	-3.9	-1.6	-0.7	-1.0	+0.2	-2.4	+6.8
Helsley	+4.1	+1.8	+0.7	+0.6	+0.6	+2.4	+0.5

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Ryan Helsley is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Ryan Helsley throws a 4-seam fastball 53% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

53%

Slider (R)

22%

Cutter (R)

15%

Curve (R)

16% of Ryan Helsley's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 16%

+5%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

-1%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 2%

-5%

35% of Ryan Helsley's pitches are classified as Extreme Fast Velocity, which is 33% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Fast Velo 35%

+33%

Small Break 27%

+18%

High Ride 26%

+16%

Fastball (R) 69%

+15%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Ryan Helsley strikes out 22.5% of the batters he faces, which is 10.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +10.2% 3%

Walk +2.3% -0.8% 41%

In Play -4.3% -9.3% 39%

On Base +4.2% -7.8% 31%

Hit +1.9% -7.0% 14%

Single -0.6% -3.2% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -2.8% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -1.0%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Ryan Helsley induces Standard Grounders at a 29.6% rate, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -4.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% +0.3% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -0.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% +1.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -2.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -1.2% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +6.1% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +2.8%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 21.8% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Helsley are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -2.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +2.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +2.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% -2.5%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 11.5% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% -3.2% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% +2.0% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -3.9% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -0.9% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -0.4% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% +0.1% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% +1.9% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +4.4%

Marcell Ozuna has 5 plate appearances against Ryan Helsley in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	4	0	0	0	0	2	1	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.92	0.00	0.01	0.92			0.231

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-21	Strikeout
2024-06-26	Lineout			78%	21%
2024-06-24	Walk
2023-09-05	Strikeout
2022-07-07	Groundout			13%	87%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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