Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Chris Paddack

327th out of 436 (Worst 25%)

Chris Paddack

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

355th out of 568 (Worst 38%)

Moderate advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 32.6% chance of reaching base vs Chris Paddack, which is 2.6% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 2.2% higher than batters facing Paddack.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.6%	24.4%	4.0%	5.2%	15.1%	8.2%	27.1%
Ozuna	-2.6	+1.4	+0.7	-0.2	+0.9	-4.0	+0.2
Paddack	+2.2	+0.5	+0.7	-0.4	+0.2	+1.7	+5.0

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Chris Paddack is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Chris Paddack throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Changeup (R)

28%

Curve (R)

12%

14% of Chris Paddack's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Meatball 6%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

43% of Chris Paddack's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 43%

+22%

High Ride 29%

+19%

Offspeed (R) 28%

+16%

Fast Velo 26%

+10%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Chris Paddack strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +4.3% 3%

Walk +2.3% -3.1% 41%

In Play -4.3% -1.2% 39%

On Base +4.2% -3.6% 31%

Hit +1.9% -0.5% 14%

Single -0.6% -0.6% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -0.1% 3%

Home Run +2.7% +0.2%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Chris Paddack induces Standard Grounders at a 28.9% rate, which is 5.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +0.9% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -5.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% +1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% +0.1% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% +1.6% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -0.8% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +0.4% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +0.2%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 30.1% of batted balls allowed by Chris Paddack are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -5.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -2.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +0.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +5.8%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 11.4% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%