Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Tristan Beck

403rd out of 436 (Worst 8%)

Tristan Beck

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

out of 568 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 33.6% chance of reaching base vs Tristan Beck, which is 1.5% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 3.6% higher than batters facing Beck.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.6%	22.8%	3.8%	5.9%	13.1%	10.8%	23.9%
Ozuna	-1.5	-0.1	+0.4	+0.5	-1.1	-1.4	-3.0
Beck	+3.6	+0.6	+0.8	+0.7	-0.8	+2.9	+2.4

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Tristan Beck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Tristan Beck throws a Slider 51% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has a B grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

51%

4-Seam (R)

39%

Curve (R)

10%

13% of Tristan Beck's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 8%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

61% of Tristan Beck's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 30% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a B grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (R) 61%

+30%

Medium Break 19%

+10%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Tristan Beck strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% -3.8% 3%

Walk +2.3% -2.8% 41%

In Play -4.3% +6.6% 39%

On Base +4.2% -6.2% 31%

Hit +1.9% -3.4% 14%

Single -0.6% -2.4% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -2.0% 3%

Home Run +2.7% +1.0%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Tristan Beck induces Standard Grounders at a 32.5% rate, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% 0.0% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% +1.8% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -1.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% 0.0% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -0.2% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +1.6% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +1.3%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 19.6% of batted balls allowed by Tristan Beck are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% +3.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -1.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -0.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% -4.7%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 8.7% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% -1.7% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% -0.4% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% +1.2% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -3.1% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -0.4% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -2.8% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% +1.8% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +5.3%

Marcell Ozuna has 4 plate appearances against Tristan Beck in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.16	0.00	0.01	0.15			0.040

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-08-27	Strikeout
2023-08-27	Forceout			7%	93%
2023-08-20	Groundout			8%	92%
2023-08-20	Pop Out				99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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