Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Nate Pearson

377th out of 436 (Worst 14%)

Nate Pearson

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

419th out of 568 (Worst 26%)

Moderate advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 32.6% chance of reaching base vs Nate Pearson, which is 2.6% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 3.4% higher than batters facing Pearson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.6%	22.4%	4.1%	4.7%	13.6%	10.2%	32.3%
Ozuna	-2.6	-0.6	+0.8	-0.7	-0.6	-2.1	+5.4
Pearson	+3.4	+0.9	+0.9	+0.3	-0.3	+2.6	+4.4

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Nate Pearson is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Nate Pearson throws a 4-seam fastball 54% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

54%

Slider (R)

34%

Curve (R)

10%

15% of Nate Pearson's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+3%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

43% of Nate Pearson's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 43%

+24%

Extreme Fast Velo 23%

+20%

Breaking (R) 44%

+14%

High Ride 24%

+13%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Nate Pearson strikes out 17.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +2.1% 3%

Walk +2.3% +0.2% 41%

In Play -4.3% -2.3% 39%

On Base +4.2% -2.8% 31%

Hit +1.9% -3.0% 14%

Single -0.6% -2.3% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -2.2% 3%

Home Run +2.7% +1.5%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Nate Pearson induces Standard Grounders at a 27.7% rate, which is 6.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -6.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -0.8% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -3.6% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% +1.6% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +1.6% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +0.8% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% +1.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +4.5% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +1.8%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 25.1% of batted balls allowed by Nate Pearson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -6.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -4.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +4.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +5.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +0.8%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 14.4% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 3.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% -4.8% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% -0.8% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -1.6% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% +1.0% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% +1.0% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% +3.0% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% -1.6% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +4.0%

Marcell Ozuna has 1 plate appearance against Nate Pearson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.009

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-05-14	Pop Out				99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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