Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Peter Lambert

420th out of 436 (Worst 4%)

Peter Lambert

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

21st out of 568 (Best 5%)

Extreme advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 42.0% chance of reaching base vs Peter Lambert, which is 6.9% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 4.5% higher than batters facing Lambert.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	42.0%	26.8%	3.7%	6.2%	16.9%	15.3%	19.3%
Ozuna	+6.9	+3.8	+0.4	+0.8	+2.7	+3.0	-7.6
Lambert	+4.5	+0.3	+0.6	+0.8	-1.1	+4.2	+1.1

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Peter Lambert is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Peter Lambert throws a 4-seam fastball 46% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

46%

Slider (R)

23%

Changeup (R)

23%

Curve (R)

8% of Peter Lambert's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 8%

+1%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

Edge Painter 17%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

43% of Peter Lambert's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 43%

+23%

Medium Fast Velo 26%

+11%

Offspeed (R) 23%

+11%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Peter Lambert strikes out 12.0% of the batters he faces, which is 5.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% -5.5% 3%

Walk +2.3% -0.1% 41%

In Play -4.3% +5.6% 39%

On Base +4.2% +1.0% 31%

Hit +1.9% +1.1% 14%

Single -0.6% +0.3% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% +0.8% 3%

Home Run +2.7% 0.0%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Peter Lambert induces Standard Grounders at a 33.8% rate, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -0.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% +3.3% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -2.0% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +0.2%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 26.6% of batted balls allowed by Peter Lambert are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -2.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +0.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +2.3%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 10.0% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 1.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% -0.3% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% -2.5% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -0.4% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% +4.4% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% +0.5% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -1.5% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% 0.0% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% -0.2%

Marcell Ozuna has 5 plate appearances against Peter Lambert in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 5 with a home run and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	5	3	1	0	2	0	0	0.600
Expected From Contact →			2.02	0.89	0.13	0.99			0.403

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-11	Single		5%	64%	31%
2023-08-29	Home Run	86%	6%		6%
2023-08-29	Pop Out				100%
2023-08-29	Single			34%	66%
2023-06-16	Flyout	3%	1%		95%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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