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Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Trent Thornton

375th out of 436 (Worst 14%)

Trent Thornton

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

468th out of 568 (Worst 18%)

Leans in favor of Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 31.3% chance of reaching base vs Trent Thornton, which is 3.8% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 2.1% higher than batters facing Thornton.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.3%	22.3%	3.7%	4.7%	13.8%	9.0%	32.6%
Ozuna	-3.8	-0.6	+0.4	-0.7	-0.4	-3.2	+5.7
Thornton	+2.1	+1.4	+1.1	+0.6	-0.4	+0.7	+4.1

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Trent Thornton is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Trent Thornton throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

37%

Slider (R)

32%

Cutter (R)

11%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

21% of Trent Thornton's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

27% of Trent Thornton's pitches are classified as Very Slow Velocity, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Slow Velo 27%

+14%

Small Break 22%

+13%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

Extreme Drop 14%

+9%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Trent Thornton strikes out 17.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +3.0% 3%

Walk +2.3% -1.0% 41%

In Play -4.3% -2.0% 39%

On Base +4.2% -2.3% 31%

Hit +1.9% -1.3% 14%

Single -0.6% -0.5% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -0.3% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -0.5%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Trent Thornton induces Standard Grounders at a 29.2% rate, which is 5.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -5.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -1.0% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% +1.5% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% +2.6% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +0.5% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -0.2% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +2.1%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Trent Thornton are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -1.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +0.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -0.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +4.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% -2.7%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% -2.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% -0.9% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -0.8% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% +1.1% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -0.2% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -2.5% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% +2.9% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +3.4%

Marcell Ozuna has 1 plate appearance against Trent Thornton in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01			0.005

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-01	Pop Out				99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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