Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Seth Martinez

418th out of 436 (Worst 4%)

Seth Martinez

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

55th out of 568 (Best 11%)

Extreme advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 39.2% chance of reaching base vs Seth Martinez, which is 4.0% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 5.1% higher than batters facing Martinez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	39.2%	24.1%	3.6%	6.6%	13.9%	15.1%	18.8%
Ozuna	+4.0	+1.2	+0.3	+1.2	-0.3	+2.9	-8.1
Martinez	+5.1	+0.6	+0.7	+0.5	-0.6	+4.5	+0.5

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Seth Martinez is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Seth Martinez throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

36%

Slider (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

19%

Changeup (R)

14%

21% of Seth Martinez's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Meatball 8%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

37% of Seth Martinez's pitches are classified as Medium Velocity, which is 26% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Velo 37%

+26%

Low Ride 42%

+19%

Large Break 40%

+18%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Seth Martinez strikes out 12.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% -3.4% 3%

Walk +2.3% +1.1% 41%

In Play -4.3% +2.3% 39%

On Base +4.2% +1.4% 31%

Hit +1.9% +0.3% 14%

Single -0.6% -0.4% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% +0.0% 3%

Home Run +2.7% +0.7%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Seth Martinez induces Standard Grounders at a 31.3% rate, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +1.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -3.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% +1.1% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -0.9% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -2.1% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -0.4% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -1.2% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +1.3% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +4.2%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 25.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Martinez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% +3.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -0.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -3.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -0.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +1.4%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 8.7% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% +1.3% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% -3.8% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% +5.1% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -6.5% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% +2.6% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -2.8% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% -1.4% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +5.5%

Marcell Ozuna has 2 plate appearances against Seth Martinez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.18	0.00	0.08	0.10			0.092

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-04-17	Lineout		8%		91%
2024-04-15	Groundout			9%	91%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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