Matchup Machine

Marcell Ozuna

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matchup for E. De Los Santos

423rd out of 436 (Worst 3%)

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Enyel De Los Santos

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matchup for Marcell Ozuna

29th out of 568 (Best 6%)

Extreme advantage for Ozuna
10

Model Prediction

Marcell Ozuna has a 39.1% chance of reaching base vs Enyel De Los Santos, which is 3.9% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 4.8% higher than batters facing De Los Santos.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction39.1%25.8%5.1%5.9%14.8%13.3%22.4%
Ozuna+3.9+2.9+1.8+0.5+0.6+1.1-4.4
De Los Santos+4.8+1.4+1.5-0.1-0.1+3.4+0.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Enyel De Los Santos is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Enyel De Los Santos throws a 4-seam fastball 59% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
59%
   Slider (R)
29%
   Changeup (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Enyel De Los Santos strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.0% +0.2% 3%         Walk +2.3% +2.5% 41%         In Play -4.3% -2.6% 39%         On Base +4.2% -1.6% 31%         Hit +1.9% -4.1% 14%         Single -0.6% -3.0% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% -2.7% 3%         Home Run +2.7% +1.6%

History

Marcell Ozuna has 3 plate appearances against Enyel De Los Santos in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a home run, a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual321100010.500
Expected From Contact →1.070.990.080.000.535
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-12Home Run94%4%2%
2024-05-20Walk
2023-07-04Flyout5%4%91%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.