Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Shohei Ohtani

393rd out of 436 (Worst 10%)

Shohei Ohtani

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

out of 568 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 31.9% chance of reaching base vs Shohei Ohtani, which is 3.2% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 3.0% higher than batters facing Ohtani.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.9%	21.1%	3.6%	5.0%	12.4%	10.9%	32.5%
Ozuna	-3.2	-1.9	+0.2	-0.4	-1.8	-1.4	+5.7
Ohtani	+3.0	+0.8	+1.0	+0.9	-1.1	+2.3	+4.7

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Shohei Ohtani is right handed .

Shohei Ohtani throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

36%

Slider (R)

32%

Splitter (R)

13%

Cutter (R)

11%

Curve (R)

15% of Shohei Ohtani's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

19% of Shohei Ohtani's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 19%

+14%

Small Drop 24%

+12%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Shohei Ohtani strikes out 20.6% of the batters he faces, which is 9.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +9.8% 3%

Walk +2.3% +2.0% 41%

In Play -4.3% -11.8% 39%

On Base +4.2% -4.0% 31%

Hit +1.9% -6.0% 14%

Single -0.6% -2.8% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -2.4% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -0.9%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Shohei Ohtani induces Standard Grounders at a 40.8% rate, which is 6.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% +6.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -2.0% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -1.8% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -2.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +0.8% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -2.6% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +2.1%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 20.0% of batted balls allowed by Shohei Ohtani are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% +7.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -1.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +0.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% -4.3%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 8.5% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 2.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% +2.7% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% +0.5% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -1.6% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -0.9% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% +1.4% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -2.9% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% -0.8% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +1.7%

Marcell Ozuna has 3 plate appearances against Shohei Ohtani in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.09	0.00	0.06	0.03			0.029

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-07-22	Groundout		6%	3%	91%
2022-07-22	Strikeout
2022-07-22	Flyout				100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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