Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for David Peterson

371st out of 436 (Worst 15%)

David Peterson

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

306th out of 568 (Worst 46%)

Strong advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 36.4% chance of reaching base vs David Peterson, which is 1.2% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 3.6% higher than batters facing Peterson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	36.4%	22.0%	2.5%	4.7%	14.8%	14.4%	23.8%
Ozuna	+1.2	-0.9	-0.9	-0.7	+0.6	+2.2	-3.0
Peterson	+3.6	-0.9	+0.3	-0.3	-0.8	+4.5	+2.0

Marcell Ozuna is worse vs left-handed pitching. David Peterson is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Ozuna has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

David Peterson throws a 4-seam fastball 30% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

30%

Sinker (L)

24%

Slider (L)

23%

Changeup (L)

17%

Curve (L)

11% of David Peterson's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+2%

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

26% of David Peterson's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 11% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 26%

+11%

Low Ride 34%

+11%

Slow Velo 23%

+10%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. David Peterson strikes out 16.9% of the batters he faces, which is 0.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +0.0% 3%

Walk +2.3% +1.3% 41%

In Play -4.3% -1.3% 39%

On Base +4.2% +2.2% 31%

Hit +1.9% +0.9% 14%

Single -0.6% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% +1.2% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -1.0%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. David Peterson induces Standard Grounders at a 39.1% rate, which is 4.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% +4.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -0.2% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -2.1% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -0.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -2.0% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +0.0% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% +1.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -3.2% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +1.4%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 29.3% of batted balls allowed by David Peterson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% +0.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -1.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -3.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +5.1%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 5.3% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% +4.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% +1.4% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -1.5% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% +1.9% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -0.8% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -6.1% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% -1.1% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +1.5%

Marcell Ozuna has 10 plate appearances against David Peterson in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 10 with 2 home runs and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	10	10	3	2	0	1	3	0	0.300
Expected From Contact →			3.06	1.98	0.09	0.99			0.306

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-28	Flyout				99%
2024-07-28	Single		5%	81%	14%
2024-07-28	Forceout			13%	86%
2023-08-21	Home Run	99%
2023-08-21	Home Run	98%
2022-07-12	Strikeout
2022-07-12	Strikeout
2022-05-03	Strikeout
2022-05-03	Pop Out				99%
2022-05-03	Flyout			3%	97%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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