Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Genesis Cabrera

418th out of 436 (Worst 4%)

Genesis Cabrera

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

158th out of 568 (Best 29%)

Extreme advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 38.6% chance of reaching base vs Genesis Cabrera, which is 3.4% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 5.7% higher than batters facing Cabrera.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	38.6%	23.0%	2.7%	5.8%	14.4%	15.6%	23.0%
Ozuna	+3.4	+0.0	-0.6	+0.4	+0.2	+3.4	-3.9
Cabrera	+5.7	+0.6	+0.4	+0.2	+0.0	+5.1	+2.4

Marcell Ozuna is worse vs left-handed pitching. Genesis Cabrera is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Ozuna has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Genesis Cabrera throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

37%

Curve (L)

19%

Sinker (L)

16%

Changeup (L)

12%

Cutter (L)

10%

7% of Genesis Cabrera's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

Fringe Miss 12%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Meatball 3%

-3%

26% of Genesis Cabrera's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 26%

+22%

High Ride 21%

+11%

Medium Break 29%

+9%

Fastball (L) 63%

+8%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Genesis Cabrera strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% -0.2% 3%

Walk +2.3% -0.1% 41%

In Play -4.3% +0.3% 39%

On Base +4.2% -1.8% 31%

Hit +1.9% -1.7% 14%

Single -0.6% -0.9% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -0.1%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Genesis Cabrera induces Standard Grounders at a 33.7% rate, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -0.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -2.0% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.8% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +3.1%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 23.8% of batted balls allowed by Genesis Cabrera are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -1.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -1.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +2.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% -0.5%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 11.6% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% +0.3% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% -0.5% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% +0.2% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -1.5% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -1.2% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% +0.2% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% -1.7% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +4.2%

Marcell Ozuna has 1 plate appearance against Genesis Cabrera in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.05	0.00	0.00	0.04			0.045

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-07	GIDP			4%	96%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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