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Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Bryan Abreu

392nd out of 436 (Worst 10%)

Bryan Abreu

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

513th out of 568 (Worst 10%)

Moderate advantage for Abreu

Marcell Ozuna has a 30.8% chance of reaching base vs Bryan Abreu, which is 4.3% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 4.4% higher than batters facing Abreu.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.8%	17.4%	2.5%	4.6%	10.3%	13.4%	32.7%
Ozuna	-4.3	-5.5	-0.8	-0.8	-3.9	+1.2	+5.8
Abreu	+4.4	+0.7	+0.3	+0.8	-0.4	+3.6	+1.1

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Bryan Abreu is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Bryan Abreu throws a Slider 48% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has a B grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

48%

4-Seam (R)

43%

Curve (R)

7% of Bryan Abreu's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+1%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Meatball 3%

-3%

56% of Bryan Abreu's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 25% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a B grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (R) 56%

+25%

Medium Break 29%

+20%

Large Drop 25%

+20%

Medium Slow Velo 30%

+16%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Bryan Abreu strikes out 21.6% of the batters he faces, which is 9.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +9.9% 3%

Walk +2.3% +3.0% 41%

In Play -4.3% -12.9% 39%

On Base +4.2% -6.1% 31%

Hit +1.9% -9.1% 14%

Single -0.6% -4.4% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -3.9% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -0.8%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Bryan Abreu induces Standard Grounders at a 31.5% rate, which is 2.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% +4.4% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -0.2% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -3.1% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -0.9% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.8% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +3.5% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +0.7%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 23.2% of batted balls allowed by Bryan Abreu are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -2.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +0.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +3.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -0.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% -1.0%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 11.7% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% -2.3% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% +2.1% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% +1.5% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -3.9% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% +2.0% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% +0.3% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% -0.6% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +1.0%

Marcell Ozuna has 1 plate appearance against Bryan Abreu in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 0 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-04-15	Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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