Matchup Machine

Marcell Ozuna

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matchup for Michael Soroka

359th out of 436 (Worst 18%)

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Michael Soroka

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matchup for Marcell Ozuna

423rd out of 568 (Worst 26%)

Moderate advantage for Ozuna
3

Model Prediction

Marcell Ozuna has a 35.0% chance of reaching base vs Michael Soroka, which is 0.2% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 4.4% higher than batters facing Soroka.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.0%17.8%3.2%5.5%9.2%17.2%36.6%
Ozuna-0.2-5.1-0.2+0.1-5.0+5.0+9.8
Soroka+4.4-0.5+0.2+0.5-1.1+4.9+2.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Michael Soroka is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Michael Soroka throws a Slider 28% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has a B grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   4-Seam (R)
25%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Sinker (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Michael Soroka strikes out 17.3% of the batters he faces, which is 4.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.0% +4.0% 3%         Walk +2.3% +0.5% 41%         In Play -4.3% -4.5% 39%         On Base +4.2% -1.9% 31%         Hit +1.9% -2.4% 14%         Single -0.6% -1.2% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% -1.0% 3%         Home Run +2.7% -0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years