Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Mark Leiter Jr.

336th out of 436 (Worst 23%)

Mark Leiter Jr.

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

491st out of 568 (Worst 14%)

Leans in favor of Leiter Jr.

Marcell Ozuna has a 32.9% chance of reaching base vs Mark Leiter Jr., which is 2.3% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 2.5% higher than batters facing Leiter Jr..

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.9%	19.9%	3.3%	4.6%	12.0%	13.0%	39.3%
Ozuna	-2.3	-3.0	0.0	-0.8	-2.2	+0.7	+12.4
Leiter Jr.	+2.5	+0.5	+0.5	+0.6	-0.6	+2.0	+4.8

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Mark Leiter Jr. is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Mark Leiter Jr. throws a 4-seam fastball 19% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

19%

Sinker (R)

16%

Changeup (R)

14%

Splitter (R)

14%

Curve (R)

13%

Cutter (R)

12%

15% of Mark Leiter Jr.'s pitches are classified as Non-Competitive, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Non-Competitive 15%

+2%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

32% of Mark Leiter Jr.'s pitches are classified as Medium Velocity, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Velo 32%

+22%

Offspeed (R) 29%

+17%

Medium Break 28%

+9%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Mark Leiter Jr. strikes out 21.8% of the batters he faces, which is 7.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +7.4% 3%

Walk +2.3% +0.5% 41%

In Play -4.3% -7.9% 39%

On Base +4.2% -2.8% 31%

Hit +1.9% -3.3% 14%

Single -0.6% -1.5% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -1.4% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -0.4%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Mark Leiter Jr. induces Standard Grounders at a 36.7% rate, which is 2.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% +2.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% +2.5% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -1.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% +2.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +0.8% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -6.2% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +0.1%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 28.4% of batted balls allowed by Mark Leiter Jr. are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% +2.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +2.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -2.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -5.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +4.1%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 10.2% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 1.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% +1.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% +2.7% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% +1.1% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% +1.9% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -2.5% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -1.2% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% -1.2% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% -2.4%

Marcell Ozuna has 2 plate appearances against Mark Leiter Jr. in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a home run and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			1.54	0.87	0.01	0.65			0.768

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-27	Home Run	87%			13%
2022-04-27	Groundout			65%	34%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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