Matchup Machine

Marcell Ozuna

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matchup for Chad Kuhl

372nd out of 436 (Worst 15%)

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Chad Kuhl

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matchup for Marcell Ozuna

173rd out of 568 (Best 31%)

Extreme advantage for Ozuna
9

Model Prediction

Marcell Ozuna has a 38.4% chance of reaching base vs Chad Kuhl, which is 3.3% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 3.5% higher than batters facing Kuhl.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.4%23.9%2.9%5.9%15.0%14.5%25.6%
Ozuna+3.3+1.0-0.4+0.5+0.8+2.3-1.2
Kuhl+3.5+0.5+0.3+0.8-0.6+3.0+3.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Chad Kuhl is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Chad Kuhl throws a Slider 33% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has a B grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
33%
   Sinker (R)
32%
   4-Seam (R)
16%
   Kn-Curve (R)
10%
   Changeup (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Chad Kuhl strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.0% +0.4% 3%         Walk +2.3% +1.9% 41%         In Play -4.3% -2.3% 39%         On Base +4.2% +2.8% 31%         Hit +1.9% +0.9% 14%         Single -0.6% +0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% +0.8% 3%         Home Run +2.7% -0.5%

History

Marcell Ozuna has 5 plate appearances against Chad Kuhl in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual540000110.000
Expected From Contact →0.670.000.060.610.167
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-27Walk
2023-06-10Lineout5%6%89%
2022-06-03Strikeout
2022-06-03Flyout99%
2022-06-03GIDP54%45%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.