Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for B. Honeywell Jr.

425th out of 436 (Worst 3%)

Brent Honeywell Jr.

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

9th out of 568 (Best 2%)

Extreme advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 42.4% chance of reaching base vs Brent Honeywell Jr., which is 7.3% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 5.7% higher than batters facing Honeywell Jr..

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	42.4%	27.8%	4.2%	6.4%	17.2%	14.7%	14.4%
Ozuna	+7.3	+4.8	+0.9	+1.0	+3.0	+2.4	-12.4
Honeywell Jr.	+5.7	+2.4	+0.9	+0.1	+1.4	+3.3	-0.7

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Brent Honeywell Jr. is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Brent Honeywell Jr. throws a 4-seam fastball 48% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

48%

Slider (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

16%

19% of Brent Honeywell Jr.'s pitches are classified as Edge Painters, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Weak Challenge 10%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Mid Challenge 11%

Chaser 6%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

46% of Brent Honeywell Jr.'s pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 27% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 46%

+27%

Fast Velo 33%

+18%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Brent Honeywell Jr. strikes out 9.6% of the batters he faces, which is 11.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% -11.5% 3%

Walk +2.3% +1.3% 41%

In Play -4.3% +10.2% 39%

On Base +4.2% +4.3% 31%

Hit +1.9% +2.9% 14%

Single -0.6% +1.5% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% +1.5% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -0.1%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Brent Honeywell Jr. induces Standard Grounders at a 36.2% rate, which is 1.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% +1.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% +1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -3.9% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% +2.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -0.4% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -1.7% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% +1.7% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -1.5% 3%

Pop up +0.0% -0.2%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 28.5% of batted balls allowed by Brent Honeywell Jr. are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -2.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -6.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +0.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +4.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +4.2%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 12.8% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% -1.3% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% +2.4% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -0.3% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% +3.0% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -5.5% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% +1.3% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% -0.9% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +1.2%

Marcell Ozuna has 3 plate appearances against Brent Honeywell Jr. in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.62	0.28	0.33	0.01			0.208

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-16	Lineout
2023-04-17	Flyout	28%	33%	1%	39%
2023-04-07	Flyout				99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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