Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for J.P. France

431st out of 436 (Worst 1%)

J.P. France

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

20th out of 568 (Best 4%)

Extreme advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 41.7% chance of reaching base vs J.P. France, which is 6.6% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 6.8% higher than batters facing France.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	41.7%	24.7%	4.0%	5.9%	14.8%	17.0%	18.4%
Ozuna	+6.6	+1.8	+0.7	+0.5	+0.6	+4.8	-8.4
France	+6.8	+1.4	+1.0	+0.1	+0.3	+5.4	-1.4

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. J.P. France is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

J.P. France throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

40%

Cutter (R)

19%

Changeup (R)

17%

Curve (R)

15%

Slider (R)

12% of J.P. France's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Meatball 7%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Edge Painter 17%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

23% of J.P. France's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 13% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 23%

+13%

Medium Fast Velo 27%

+12%

Extreme Drop 15%

+10%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. J.P. France strikes out 11.5% of the batters he faces, which is 4.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% -4.1% 3%

Walk +2.3% -0.9% 41%

In Play -4.3% +5.0% 39%

On Base +4.2% +1.8% 31%

Hit +1.9% +2.7% 14%

Single -0.6% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% +1.4% 3%

Home Run +2.7% +0.4%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. J.P. France induces Standard Grounders at a 30.1% rate, which is 4.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -4.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -1.2% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% +3.1% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -0.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -1.1% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% +2.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +2.2% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +0.5%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 27.3% of batted balls allowed by J.P. France are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -0.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +1.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -5.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +3.0%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% -2.5% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% -0.1% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -4.3% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% +1.6% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% +1.0% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -0.7% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% +0.3% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +4.8%

Marcell Ozuna has 2 plate appearances against J.P. France in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a home run and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			1.32	0.99	0.01	0.31			0.659

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-04-17	Home Run	99%
2024-04-17	Forceout			31%	68%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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