Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Hunter Harvey

408th out of 436 (Worst 7%)

Hunter Harvey

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

224th out of 568 (Best 40%)

Strong advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 37.3% chance of reaching base vs Hunter Harvey, which is 2.2% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 5.1% higher than batters facing Harvey.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	37.3%	24.1%	3.0%	6.1%	15.0%	13.2%	27.7%
Ozuna	+2.2	+1.2	-0.4	+0.7	+0.9	+1.0	+0.9
Harvey	+5.1	+0.8	+0.3	+0.8	-0.3	+4.3	+1.1

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Hunter Harvey is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Hunter Harvey throws a 4-seam fastball 66% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

66%

Splitter (R)

16%

Curve (R)

Slider (R)

16% of Hunter Harvey's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 16%

+5%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

55% of Hunter Harvey's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 35% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 55%

+35%

Extreme Fast Velo 37%

+34%

High Ride 30%

+19%

Fastball (R) 66%

+13%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Hunter Harvey strikes out 16.6% of the batters he faces, which is 5.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +5.0% 3%

Walk +2.3% -1.4% 41%

In Play -4.3% -3.6% 39%

On Base +4.2% -4.7% 31%

Hit +1.9% -3.3% 14%

Single -0.6% -1.8% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -1.9% 3%

Home Run +2.7% +0.5%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Hunter Harvey induces Standard Grounders at a 36.0% rate, which is 1.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% +1.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -0.2% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -0.8% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% 0.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +2.6% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +0.3% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -2.5% 3%

Pop up +0.0% -0.8%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 27.7% of batted balls allowed by Hunter Harvey are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -1.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -3.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -2.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +4.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +3.4%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 10.2% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% -2.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% +2.6% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% +4.2% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% +0.3% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% +1.0% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -1.3% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% -1.6% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% -2.7%

Marcell Ozuna has 7 plate appearances against Hunter Harvey in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 7 with a home run and 2 doubles and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	7	7	3	1	2	0	0	0	0.429
Expected From Contact →			2.91	1.37	0.79	0.74			0.415

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-07	Double	9%	3%		87%
2024-06-06	Home Run	97%	1%		2%
2024-05-30	Double	31%	63%	5%
2024-05-29	Groundout		4%	52%	44%
2024-05-27	Groundout		7%	3%	90%
2023-09-29	Groundout			13%	86%
2022-07-14	Flyout				99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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