Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Kyle Finnegan

386th out of 436 (Worst 12%)

Kyle Finnegan

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

259th out of 568 (Best 46%)

Strong advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 35.3% chance of reaching base vs Kyle Finnegan, which is 0.1% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 2.8% higher than batters facing Finnegan.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.3%	26.1%	3.5%	6.0%	16.6%	9.2%	26.6%
Ozuna	+0.1	+3.1	+0.1	+0.6	+2.4	-3.0	-0.3
Finnegan	+2.8	+1.3	+0.8	+0.6	-0.1	+1.6	+3.7

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Kyle Finnegan is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Kyle Finnegan throws a Sinker 48% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

48%

4-Seam (R)

23%

Splitter (R)

17%

Slider (R)

12%

16% of Kyle Finnegan's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 16%

+4%

Weak Challenge 11%

+3%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Fringe Miss 12%

Strong Challenge 5%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Meatball 3%

-3%

Likely Ball 16%

-3%

60% of Kyle Finnegan's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 39% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 60%

+39%

Very Fast Velo 39%

+31%

Medium Ride 36%

+22%

Fastball (R) 71%

+17%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Kyle Finnegan strikes out 14.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% -1.4% 3%

Walk +2.3% +0.9% 41%

In Play -4.3% +0.5% 39%

On Base +4.2% +3.8% 31%

Hit +1.9% +2.9% 14%

Single -0.6% +1.8% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% +2.3% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -1.2%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Kyle Finnegan induces Standard Grounders at a 36.8% rate, which is 2.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% +2.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% +3.1% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -3.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -0.4% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +0.9% 3%

Pop up +0.0% -0.8%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 29.5% of batted balls allowed by Kyle Finnegan are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -2.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -5.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +0.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +1.4% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +5.2%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 6.9% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 4.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% +5.5% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% -0.9% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% +2.6% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -0.4% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -1.3% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -4.5% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% -0.9% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% -0.1%

Marcell Ozuna has 9 plate appearances against Kyle Finnegan in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 9 with a home run and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	9	9	2	1	0	1	0	0	0.222
Expected From Contact →			2.48	0.90	0.08	1.49			0.275

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-09	Flyout				100%
2023-10-01	Home Run	90%	5%		4%
2023-06-11	Single		2%	48%	50%
2023-06-09	Groundout
2023-04-02	Groundout			58%	41%
2022-07-15	Groundout			5%	94%
2022-07-10	Flyout				100%
2022-06-13	Groundout			31%	69%
2022-04-13	Groundout			5%	94%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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