Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Kenta Maeda

380th out of 436 (Worst 13%)

Kenta Maeda

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

389th out of 568 (Worst 32%)

Moderate advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Kenta Maeda, which is 1.8% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 3.7% higher than batters facing Maeda.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.4%	21.8%	3.4%	4.9%	13.5%	11.6%	27.6%
Ozuna	-1.8	-1.2	+0.1	-0.5	-0.7	-0.6	+0.8
Maeda	+3.7	-0.1	+0.4	+0.3	-0.8	+3.8	+3.1

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Kenta Maeda is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Kenta Maeda throws a Slider 34% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has a B grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

34%

4-Seam (R)

28%

Splitter (R)

27%

Sinker (R)

9% of Kenta Maeda's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+3%

Chaser 9%

+3%

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-3%

34% of Kenta Maeda's pitches are classified as Very Slow Velocity, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Slow Velo 34%

+21%

Offspeed (R) 27%

+16%

Medium Break 30%

+10%

Small Drop 22%

+10%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Kenta Maeda strikes out 19.3% of the batters he faces, which is 5.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +5.3% 3%

Walk +2.3% -2.0% 41%

In Play -4.3% -3.3% 39%

On Base +4.2% -4.2% 31%

Hit +1.9% -2.2% 14%

Single -0.6% -1.0% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -0.5%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Kenta Maeda induces Standard Grounders at a 33.9% rate, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -0.5% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -1.9% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% +0.8% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -0.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -0.4% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +1.1% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +2.2%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 19.1% of batted balls allowed by Kenta Maeda are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% +2.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +1.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +1.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +0.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% -5.1%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 10.4% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% -0.2% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% -2.5% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -0.4% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -0.2% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% +0.5% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -1.0% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% +1.0% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +3.0%

Marcell Ozuna has 2 plate appearances against Kenta Maeda in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			0.51	0.00	0.00	0.51			0.255

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-06-28	Strikeout
2023-06-28	Single			51%	49%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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