Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Ranger Suarez

409th out of 436 (Worst 6%)

Ranger Suarez

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

133rd out of 568 (Best 24%)

Extreme advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 38.9% chance of reaching base vs Ranger Suarez, which is 3.8% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 4.8% higher than batters facing Suarez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	38.9%	26.2%	3.2%	5.8%	17.1%	12.8%	25.1%
Ozuna	+3.8	+3.2	-0.1	+0.4	+2.9	+0.5	-1.8
Suarez	+4.8	+1.4	+0.7	+0.1	+0.5	+3.4	+0.6

Marcell Ozuna is worse vs left-handed pitching. Ranger Suarez is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Ozuna has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Ranger Suarez throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (L)

33%

4-Seam (L)

21%

Changeup (L)

20%

Curve (L)

12%

Cutter (L)

13% of Ranger Suarez's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+4%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Meatball 2%

-3%

33% of Ranger Suarez's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 33%

+20%

Extreme Break 34%

+18%

Medium Fast Velo 31%

+15%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Ranger Suarez strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +0.1% 3%

Walk +2.3% -1.3% 41%

In Play -4.3% +1.2% 39%

On Base +4.2% +1.8% 31%

Hit +1.9% +3.1% 14%

Single -0.6% +1.8% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% +2.2% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -0.9%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Ranger Suarez induces Standard Grounders at a 45.1% rate, which is 10.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% +10.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% +1.8% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -1.9% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -0.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -2.4% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -0.8% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -5.7% 3%

Pop up +0.0% -1.3%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 21.7% of batted balls allowed by Ranger Suarez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% +2.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +3.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -2.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% -2.6%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 7.9% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 3.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% +9.7% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% +1.1% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% +1.2% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -2.0% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -1.5% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -3.5% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% -0.5% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% -4.5%

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	23	22	6	1	2	3	6	1	0.273
Expected From Contact →			6.09	1.06	1.69	3.34			0.277

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-30	Double		26%	3%	71%
2024-08-30	Strikeout
2024-07-06	Double		60%	27%	12%
2024-07-06	Home Run	68%	17%		16%
2024-07-06	Lineout			2%	97%
2024-03-31	Groundout		2%	50%	49%
2024-03-31	Groundout			8%	92%
2023-10-12	Groundout			4%	96%
2023-10-12	GIDP			35%	65%
2023-10-07	Pop Out		1%		98%
2023-06-20	Single			89%	10%
2023-06-20	Strikeout
2023-06-20	Forceout			16%	84%
2022-09-22	Groundout			16%	84%
2022-09-22	Flyout	31%	4%		65%
2022-07-25	Single	7%	45%	33%	15%
2022-07-25	Strikeout
2022-06-29	Groundout		1%	30%	68%
2022-06-29	Walk
2022-06-29	Strikeout
2022-05-25	Strikeout
2022-05-25	Single		12%	19%	69%
2022-05-25	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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