Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Evan Phillips

394th out of 436 (Worst 10%)

Evan Phillips

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

441st out of 568 (Worst 23%)

Moderate advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 33.6% chance of reaching base vs Evan Phillips, which is 1.6% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 4.5% higher than batters facing Phillips.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.6%	20.4%	2.8%	5.1%	12.5%	13.2%	30.2%
Ozuna	-1.6	-2.6	-0.6	-0.3	-1.7	+1.0	+3.4
Phillips	+4.5	+0.3	+0.3	+0.7	-0.7	+4.2	+2.8

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Evan Phillips is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Evan Phillips throws a Slider 38% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has a B grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

38%

4-Seam (R)

37%

Cutter (R)

14%

Sinker (R)

8% of Evan Phillips's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Chaser 6%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

32% of Evan Phillips's pitches are classified as Slow Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Slow Velo 32%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+17%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Evan Phillips strikes out 20.8% of the batters he faces, which is 6.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +6.5% 3%

Walk +2.3% -2.2% 41%

In Play -4.3% -4.2% 39%

On Base +4.2% -3.8% 31%

Hit +1.9% -1.6% 14%

Single -0.6% -0.4% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -0.4% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -0.8%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Evan Phillips induces Standard Grounders at a 35.6% rate, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% +1.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -2.4% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% +3.1% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -1.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -0.4% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.8% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +0.5% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +0.6%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 18.5% of batted balls allowed by Evan Phillips are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% +5.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% 0.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -0.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% -5.8%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% -0.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% +0.5% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -1.0% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -2.6% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -0.2% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -0.5% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% +3.1% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +0.9%

Marcell Ozuna has 2 plate appearances against Evan Phillips in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00			0.134

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-14	Walk
2024-05-03	Flyout	7%	6%		87%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe