Matchup Machine

Marcell Ozuna

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matchup for Tanner Banks

405th out of 436 (Worst 7%)

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Tanner Banks

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matchup for Marcell Ozuna

252nd out of 568 (Best 45%)

Strong advantage for Ozuna
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Model Prediction

Marcell Ozuna has a 37.0% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Banks, which is 1.8% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 4.5% higher than batters facing Banks.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction37.0%24.4%3.5%4.9%16.1%12.6%28.7%
Ozuna+1.8+1.5+0.1-0.5+1.9+0.3+1.9
Banks+4.5+0.9+0.9+0.3-0.3+3.7+2.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Marcell Ozuna is worse vs left-handed pitching. Tanner Banks is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Ozuna has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Banks throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
37%
   Slider (L)
32%
   Changeup (L)
16%
   Curve (L)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Tanner Banks strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.0% +0.5% 3%         Walk +2.3% -0.2% 41%         In Play -4.3% -0.3% 39%         On Base +4.2% +2.2% 31%         Hit +1.9% +2.4% 14%         Single -0.6% +1.3% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% +1.7% 3%         Home Run +2.7% -0.6%

History

Marcell Ozuna has 3 plate appearances against Tanner Banks in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000200.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.001
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-30Strikeout
2024-08-22Strikeout
2023-07-14Flyout100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.