Matchup Machine

Marcell Ozuna

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matchup for Colin Poche

315th out of 436 (Worst 28%)

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Colin Poche

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matchup for Marcell Ozuna

410th out of 568 (Worst 28%)

Moderate advantage for Ozuna
4

Model Prediction

Marcell Ozuna has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Colin Poche, which is 2.9% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 2.1% higher than batters facing Poche.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.3%18.8%3.8%5.0%10.0%13.5%28.1%
Ozuna-2.9-4.2+0.5-0.4-4.2+1.3+1.3
Poche+2.1-2.0+0.5+0.4-2.9+4.1+5.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Marcell Ozuna is worse vs left-handed pitching. Colin Poche is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Colin Poche throws a 4-seam fastball 75% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
75%
   Slider (L)
15%
   Curve (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Colin Poche strikes out 17.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.0% +3.9% 3%         Walk +2.3% +0.4% 41%         In Play -4.3% -4.3% 39%         On Base +4.2% -5.7% 31%         Hit +1.9% -6.1% 14%         Single -0.6% -3.1% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% -2.8% 3%         Home Run +2.7% -0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years