Matchup Machine

Marcell Ozuna

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matchup for Austin Voth

411st out of 436 (Worst 6%)

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Austin Voth

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matchup for Marcell Ozuna

385th out of 568 (Worst 32%)

Moderate advantage for Ozuna
5

Model Prediction

Marcell Ozuna has a 32.9% chance of reaching base vs Austin Voth, which is 2.3% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 4.2% higher than batters facing Voth.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.9%21.6%3.3%6.3%12.0%11.3%28.4%
Ozuna-2.3-1.40.0+0.9-2.2-0.9+1.5
Voth+4.2+1.2+0.5+1.3-0.6+3.0+1.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Austin Voth is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Voth throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
47%
   Curve (R)
26%
   Cutter (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Austin Voth strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.0% -0.9% 3%         Walk +2.3% -0.1% 41%         In Play -4.3% +1.0% 39%         On Base +4.2% -1.6% 31%         Hit +1.9% -1.5% 14%         Single -0.6% -0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% -0.4% 3%         Home Run +2.7% -0.7%

History

Marcell Ozuna has 2 plate appearances against Austin Voth in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221100000.500
Expected From Contact →1.040.700.210.140.522
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-05-07Groundout14%86%
2022-04-12Home Run70%21%9%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.