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Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Chris Stratton

399th out of 436 (Worst 9%)

Chris Stratton

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

110th out of 568 (Best 20%)

Extreme advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 38.4% chance of reaching base vs Chris Stratton, which is 3.2% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 3.7% higher than batters facing Stratton.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	38.4%	22.3%	3.5%	5.7%	13.1%	16.0%	21.0%
Ozuna	+3.2	-0.6	+0.2	+0.3	-1.1	+3.8	-5.9
Stratton	+3.7	-0.2	+0.6	-0.1	-0.7	+3.9	+2.9

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Chris Stratton is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Chris Stratton throws a 4-seam fastball 48% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

48%

Curve (R)

19%

Slider (R)

17%

Changeup (R)

8% of Chris Stratton's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 8%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Weak Challenge 8%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

22% of Chris Stratton's pitches are classified as Medium Velocity, which is 11% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Velo 22%

+11%

Small Break 18%

+10%

Medium Ride 23%

+9%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Chris Stratton strikes out 16.3% of the batters he faces, which is 1.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +1.4% 3%

Walk +2.3% +1.3% 41%

In Play -4.3% -2.7% 39%

On Base +4.2% -1.3% 31%

Hit +1.9% -2.6% 14%

Single -0.6% -1.0% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -0.9%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Chris Stratton induces Standard Grounders at a 33.3% rate, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -1.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% +1.3% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -1.7% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% 0.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +0.8% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -0.2% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +0.0% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +1.0%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 25.7% of batted balls allowed by Chris Stratton are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +1.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -0.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -1.4% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +1.4%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 12.0% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% +0.0% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% -0.4% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -0.8% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% +0.4% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% +0.7% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% +0.6% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% -0.8% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +0.4%

Marcell Ozuna has 1 plate appearance against Chris Stratton in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.008

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-04-05	Flyout
2023-04-05	Flyout				99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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