Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Cole Irvin

433rd out of 436 (Worst 1%)

Cole Irvin

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

2nd out of 568 (Best 1%)

Extreme advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 43.8% chance of reaching base vs Cole Irvin, which is 8.6% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 7.4% higher than batters facing Irvin.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	43.8%	29.4%	4.8%	7.7%	16.8%	14.4%	15.6%
Ozuna	+8.6	+6.4	+1.5	+2.3	+2.6	+2.2	-11.2
Irvin	+7.4	+1.9	+1.1	+0.7	+0.1	+5.5	+0.9

Marcell Ozuna is worse vs left-handed pitching. Cole Irvin is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Cole Irvin throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

36%

Changeup (L)

20%

Sinker (L)

19%

Curve (L)

14%

Slider (L)

9% of Cole Irvin's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+4%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Weak Challenge 10%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Non-Competitive 9%

-3%

44% of Cole Irvin's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 44%

+23%

Medium Velo 25%

+11%

Low Ride 32%

+8%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Cole Irvin strikes out 11.8% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% -5.2% 3%

Walk +2.3% -3.7% 41%

In Play -4.3% +9.0% 39%

On Base +4.2% -0.1% 31%

Hit +1.9% +3.6% 14%

Single -0.6% +1.0% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% +1.5% 3%

Home Run +2.7% +1.1%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Cole Irvin induces Standard Grounders at a 33.2% rate, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -1.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -0.1% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -2.8% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% +1.1% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +1.8% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +0.6% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -0.4% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +1.0%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 23.0% of batted balls allowed by Cole Irvin are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% 0.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -0.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +2.4% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% -1.3%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 11.7% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% -1.5% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% -0.9% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -1.2% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% +2.5% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% +1.8% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% +0.3% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% +0.0% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% -1.1%

Marcell Ozuna has 7 plate appearances against Cole Irvin in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 6 with a double and a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	7	6	2	0	1	1	0	1	0.333
Expected From Contact →			3.52	0.19	0.97	2.36			0.587

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-13	Flyout	5%	23%	3%	69%
2024-06-13	Walk
2024-06-13	Double	14%	73%	3%	10%
2022-09-06	Groundout			43%	57%
2022-09-06	Single			93%	6%
2022-06-07	Groundout			13%	87%
2022-06-07	Groundout			81%	19%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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