Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Max Fried

324th out of 436 (Worst 26%)

Max Fried

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

483rd out of 568 (Worst 15%)

Leans in favor of Fried

Marcell Ozuna has a 32.6% chance of reaching base vs Max Fried, which is 2.6% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 2.6% higher than batters facing Fried.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.6%	22.0%	2.3%	5.3%	14.3%	10.6%	32.2%
Ozuna	-2.6	-0.9	-1.0	0.0	+0.2	-1.7	+5.4
Fried	+2.6	-0.1	+0.3	+0.1	-0.6	+2.7	+4.6

Marcell Ozuna is worse vs left-handed pitching. Max Fried is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Max Fried throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

35%

Curve (L)

23%

Slider (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13%

Changeup (L)

11%

13% of Max Fried's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+4%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

Meatball 1%

-4%

23% of Max Fried's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 23%

+19%

Slow Lob 18%

+14%

Medium Break 20%

+12%

Breaking (L) 40%

+11%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Max Fried strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +3.1% 3%

Walk +2.3% -1.8% 41%

In Play -4.3% -1.3% 39%

On Base +4.2% 0.0% 31%

Hit +1.9% +1.8% 14%

Single -0.6% +1.6% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% +1.5% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -1.4%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Max Fried induces Standard Grounders at a 45.9% rate, which is 11.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% +11.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% +0.7% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -2.6% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% +0.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -1.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -6.6% 3%

Pop up +0.0% -0.9%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 22.1% of batted balls allowed by Max Fried are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% +2.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +3.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -4.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% -2.2%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 10.4% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%