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Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Kyle Freeland

410th out of 436 (Worst 6%)

Kyle Freeland

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

92nd out of 568 (Best 17%)

Extreme advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 34.7% chance of reaching base vs Kyle Freeland, which is 0.4% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 2.5% higher than batters facing Freeland.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.7%	27.7%	4.7%	7.0%	16.1%	7.0%	18.1%
Ozuna	-0.4	+4.8	+1.3	+1.6	+1.9	-5.2	-8.8
Freeland	+2.5	+0.6	+1.4	+0.3	-1.0	+1.9	+1.9

Marcell Ozuna is worse vs left-handed pitching. Kyle Freeland is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Ozuna has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Kyle Freeland throws a Slider 23% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A- grade against left-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (L)

23%

4-Seam (L)

22%

Sinker (L)

21%

Changeup (L)

16%

Curve (L)

11%

Kn-Curve (L)

8% of Kyle Freeland's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 8%

+2%

Weak Challenge 10%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

29% of Kyle Freeland's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 15% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 29%

+15%

Slow Velo 26%

+12%

Minimal Break 21%

+12%

Breaking (L) 41%

+12%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Kyle Freeland strikes out 14.4% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% -3.2% 3%

Walk +2.3% -1.9% 41%

In Play -4.3% +5.1% 39%

On Base +4.2% +2.5% 31%

Hit +1.9% +4.4% 14%

Single -0.6% +2.1% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% +2.1% 3%

Home Run +2.7% +0.1%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Kyle Freeland induces Standard Grounders at a 35.2% rate, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% +0.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -0.1% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -2.2% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -0.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -0.4% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% +1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +0.1% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +0.1%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 25.0% of batted balls allowed by Kyle Freeland are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -1.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +1.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -0.4% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +0.7%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 10.6% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% +1.5% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% -0.9% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -0.1% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -1.2% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% +1.5% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -0.8% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% -1.7% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +1.6%

Marcell Ozuna has 12 plate appearances against Kyle Freeland in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 12 with a home run and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	12	12	2	1	0	1	2	0	0.167
Expected From Contact →			3.20	1.00	0.65	1.55			0.267

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-03	Flyout				99%
2024-09-03	Single		57%	27%	16%
2024-08-11	Flyout		1%		98%
2024-08-11	Strikeout
2023-08-30	Fielders Choice			5%	95%
2023-08-30	Home Run	99%
2023-08-30	Groundout			51%	48%
2023-06-15	Groundout			5%	95%
2023-06-15	Flyout				99%
2022-06-04	Strikeout
2022-06-04	Groundout		1%	60%	39%
2022-06-04	Groundout		4%	6%	90%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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