Matchup Machine

Marcell Ozuna

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matchup for Aaron Bummer

300th out of 436 (Worst 31%)

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Aaron Bummer

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matchup for Marcell Ozuna

540th out of 568 (Worst 5%)

Moderate advantage for Bummer
5

Model Prediction

Marcell Ozuna has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Bummer, which is 3.7% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 2.5% higher than batters facing Bummer.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.4%19.5%1.7%4.4%13.4%11.9%36.2%
Ozuna-3.7-3.4-1.6-1.0-0.8-0.3+9.4
Bummer+2.5-0.4+0.1+0.4-0.8+2.8+6.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Marcell Ozuna is worse vs left-handed pitching. Aaron Bummer is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Ozuna has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Bummer throws a Sinker 55% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
55%
   Slider (L)
27%
   Cutter (L)
10%
   4-Seam (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Aaron Bummer strikes out 19.8% of the batters he faces, which is 7.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.0% +7.3% 3%         Walk +2.3% +2.0% 41%         In Play -4.3% -9.3% 39%         On Base +4.2% 0.0% 31%         Hit +1.9% -2.0% 14%         Single -0.6% +0.2% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% 0.0% 3%         Home Run +2.7% -2.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years