Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Nick Martinez

364th out of 436 (Worst 17%)

Nick Martinez

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

372nd out of 568 (Worst 35%)

Moderate advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 31.7% chance of reaching base vs Nick Martinez, which is 3.5% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 2.4% higher than batters facing Martinez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.7%	25.3%	3.7%	5.7%	15.9%	6.4%	24.5%
Ozuna	-3.5	+2.3	+0.4	+0.3	+1.7	-5.8	-2.4
Martinez	+2.4	+1.4	+0.7	+0.3	+0.4	+1.1	+2.4

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Nick Martinez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Nick Martinez throws a 4-seam fastball 25% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

25%

Changeup (R)

22%

Cutter (R)

17%

Curve (R)

16%

Sinker (R)

14%

8% of Nick Martinez's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Weak Challenge 8%

Mid Challenge 11%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

27% of Nick Martinez's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 12% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 27%

+12%

Offspeed (R) 22%

+10%

Large Break 31%

+10%

Extreme Drop 13%

+8%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Nick Martinez strikes out 14.8% of the batters he faces, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% -1.7% 3%

Walk +2.3% -3.0% 41%

In Play -4.3% +4.6% 39%

On Base +4.2% -2.1% 31%

Hit +1.9% +0.9% 14%

Single -0.6% +0.6% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% +0.9% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -0.6%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Nick Martinez induces Standard Grounders at a 33.1% rate, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -1.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% +0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% +1.6% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -0.6% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -0.6% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% +0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -2.7% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +2.0%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 20.5% of batted balls allowed by Nick Martinez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% +3.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +3.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -2.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% -3.8%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 10.6% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% -1.7% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% 0.0% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% +1.9% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -0.7% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -0.1% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -0.9% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% -0.8% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +2.3%

Marcell Ozuna has 8 plate appearances against Nick Martinez in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 7 with 2 home runs, a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	8	7	2	2	0	0	1	1	0.286
Expected From Contact →			2.34	1.96	0.06	0.31			0.334

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-09	Lineout		3%	2%	95%
2024-09-09	Walk
2024-09-09	Flyout				99%
2023-04-07	Home Run	99%
2023-04-07	Groundout			18%	81%
2022-04-16	Home Run	97%	2%
2022-04-16	GIDP			10%	90%
2022-04-16	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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