Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Joel Payamps

397th out of 436 (Worst 9%)

Joel Payamps

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

348th out of 568 (Worst 39%)

Strong advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 34.2% chance of reaching base vs Joel Payamps, which is 1.0% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 4.8% higher than batters facing Payamps.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.2%	20.9%	3.9%	5.1%	12.0%	13.3%	29.9%
Ozuna	-1.0	-2.0	+0.5	-0.3	-2.2	+1.0	+3.0
Payamps	+4.8	+0.2	+0.5	+0.1	-0.4	+4.6	+2.0

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Joel Payamps is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Joel Payamps throws a Slider 38% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has a B grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

38%

4-Seam (R)

31%

Sinker (R)

21%

Changeup (R)

11%

7% of Joel Payamps's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Edge Painter 17%

Mid Challenge 11%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

33% of Joel Payamps's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 33%

+18%

Medium Drop 26%

+13%

Medium Break 20%

+11%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Joel Payamps strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +1.1% 3%

Walk +2.3% -1.4% 41%

In Play -4.3% +0.2% 39%

On Base +4.2% -5.2% 31%

Hit +1.9% -3.8% 14%

Single -0.6% -2.4% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -2.0% 3%

Home Run +2.7% +0.5%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Joel Payamps induces Standard Grounders at a 37.6% rate, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +1.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% +3.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -2.4% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -4.6% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% +1.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -1.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +1.7% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +0.8%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 25.0% of batted balls allowed by Joel Payamps are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% +0.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -0.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -1.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +0.4% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +0.7%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 8.4% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% +1.0% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% +2.4% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -1.8% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% +1.9% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -1.5% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -3.1% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% -0.1% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +1.2%

Marcell Ozuna has 3 plate appearances against Joel Payamps in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			0.86	0.00	0.19	0.66			0.286

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-07	Flyout				100%
2023-07-30	Flyout			1%	98%
2022-09-06	Single		18%	65%	16%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe