Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Andrew Chafin

301st out of 436 (Worst 31%)

Andrew Chafin

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

433rd out of 568 (Worst 24%)

Moderate advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 36.2% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Chafin, which is 1.0% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 2.7% higher than batters facing Chafin.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	36.2%	18.8%	2.4%	4.4%	12.0%	17.3%	34.4%
Ozuna	+1.0	-4.1	-1.0	-1.0	-2.2	+5.1	+7.5
Chafin	+2.7	-2.0	+0.1	+0.1	-2.1	+4.6	+5.6

Marcell Ozuna is worse vs left-handed pitching. Andrew Chafin is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Ozuna has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Andrew Chafin throws a Sinker 39% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (L)

39%

Slider (L)

37%

4-Seam (L)

24%

25% of Andrew Chafin's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 25%

+5%

Chaser 8%

+3%

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Strong Challenge 2%

-3%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

32% of Andrew Chafin's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 32%

+16%

Minimal Break 23%

+13%

Medium Drop 24%

+12%

Fastball (L) 63%

+8%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Andrew Chafin strikes out 20.0% of the batters he faces, which is 6.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +6.4% 3%

Walk +2.3% +1.7% 41%

In Play -4.3% -8.1% 39%

On Base +4.2% -2.1% 31%

Hit +1.9% -3.8% 14%

Single -0.6% -1.5% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -1.3% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -1.0%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Andrew Chafin induces Standard Grounders at a 36.8% rate, which is 2.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% +2.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -2.7% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% +1.2% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -2.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +0.7% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -0.2% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +1.0% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +0.4%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 19.3% of batted balls allowed by Andrew Chafin are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -0.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +4.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -0.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% -5.0%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 10.4% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%