Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Nick Pivetta

397th out of 436 (Worst 9%)

Nick Pivetta

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

362nd out of 568 (Worst 36%)

Moderate advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 33.0% chance of reaching base vs Nick Pivetta, which is 2.1% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 4.4% higher than batters facing Pivetta.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.0%	21.1%	4.0%	5.9%	11.2%	11.9%	30.1%
Ozuna	-2.1	-1.8	+0.6	+0.5	-3.0	-0.3	+3.2
Pivetta	+4.4	+0.6	+0.6	+0.9	-1.0	+3.9	+2.5

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Nick Pivetta is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Nick Pivetta throws a 4-seam fastball 50% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

50%

Slider (R)

22%

Kn-Curve (R)

14%

Curve (R)

10%

15% of Nick Pivetta's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Chaser 6%

Fringe Miss 12%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 5%

-3%

35% of Nick Pivetta's pitches are classified as Extreme Ride, which is 31% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Ride 35%

+31%

Medium Break 26%

+17%

Breaking (R) 46%

+15%

Extreme Slow Velo 17%

+12%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Nick Pivetta strikes out 21.1% of the batters he faces, which is 8.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +8.3% 3%

Walk +2.3% -1.2% 41%

In Play -4.3% -7.1% 39%

On Base +4.2% -6.2% 31%

Hit +1.9% -5.0% 14%

Single -0.6% -2.9% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -2.7% 3%

Home Run +2.7% +0.6%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Nick Pivetta induces Standard Grounders at a 30.6% rate, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -3.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -0.1% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% +0.0% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +2.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% +0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +1.0% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +1.0%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 26.2% of batted balls allowed by Nick Pivetta are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -3.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +0.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -0.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +1.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +1.9%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 13.2% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 1.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% -2.7% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% -0.7% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -0.9% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -1.0% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% +3.0% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% +1.7% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% -1.8% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +2.5%

Marcell Ozuna has 11 plate appearances against Nick Pivetta in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 11 with 3 home runs and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	11	11	4	3	0	1	3	0	0.364
Expected From Contact →			4.10	2.55	0.61	0.93			0.373

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-05	Strikeout
2024-06-05	Lineout		33%	5%	61%
2024-06-05	Strikeout
2024-05-08	Home Run	81%	7%		12%
2024-05-08	Home Run	76%	4%		20%
2023-07-25	Flyout		10%	2%	88%
2023-07-25	Single		3%	81%	17%
2023-05-09	Flyout				99%
2023-05-09	Groundout		1%	5%	94%
2022-08-10	Home Run	97%	2%
2022-08-10	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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