Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Steven Okert

338th out of 436 (Worst 23%)

Steven Okert

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

175th out of 568 (Best 32%)

Extreme advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 38.1% chance of reaching base vs Steven Okert, which is 3.0% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 3.6% higher than batters facing Okert.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	38.1%	21.2%	3.3%	6.3%	11.6%	16.9%	27.8%
Ozuna	+3.0	-1.7	0.0	+0.9	-2.6	+4.7	+1.0
Okert	+3.6	-1.6	+0.4	-0.3	-1.7	+5.2	+4.4

Marcell Ozuna is worse vs left-handed pitching. Steven Okert is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Ozuna has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Steven Okert throws a Slider 57% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A- grade against left-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (L)

57%

4-Seam (L)

32%

13% of Steven Okert's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Strong Challenge 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

Chaser 6%

Fringe Miss 12%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-3%

46% of Steven Okert's pitches are classified as Very Slow Velocity, which is 29% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Slow Velo 46%

+29%

Breaking (L) 57%

+28%

Medium Break 35%

+26%

Small Drop 24%

+11%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Steven Okert strikes out 17.4% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +3.7% 3%

Walk +2.3% +0.3% 41%

In Play -4.3% -4.0% 39%

On Base +4.2% -4.7% 31%

Hit +1.9% -5.0% 14%

Single -0.6% -2.5% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -2.5% 3%

Home Run +2.7% +0.1%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Steven Okert induces Standard Grounders at a 25.1% rate, which is 9.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -9.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -2.8% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% +3.8% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -1.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +0.5% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% +0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +1.9% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +6.1%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 19.8% of batted balls allowed by Steven Okert are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% +4.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +6.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -1.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -4.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% -4.5%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 11.1% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% -6.3% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% -1.2% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -3.3% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -1.7% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% +3.2% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -0.4% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% +2.5% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +7.2%

Marcell Ozuna has 5 plate appearances against Steven Okert in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 5 with 2 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.77	0.00	0.47	0.30			0.155

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-07-01	Lineout		12%	29%	59%
2023-05-04	Flyout		35%		64%
2023-04-24	Strikeout
2022-08-14	Strikeout
2022-05-20	Pop Out				99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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