Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Ben Lively

397th out of 436 (Worst 9%)

Ben Lively

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

123rd out of 568 (Best 22%)

Extreme advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 36.1% chance of reaching base vs Ben Lively, which is 0.9% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Lively.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	36.1%	26.2%	4.0%	5.6%	16.5%	10.0%	18.2%
Ozuna	+0.9	+3.2	+0.7	+0.2	+2.3	-2.3	-8.7
Lively	+2.9	+1.9	+0.7	0.0	+1.2	+1.0	+1.3

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Ben Lively is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Ben Lively throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

35%

Slider (R)

19%

Sinker (R)

18%

Curve (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

11% of Ben Lively's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 11%

+5%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

34% of Ben Lively's pitches are classified as Medium Velocity, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Velo 34%

+24%

Low Ride 37%

+14%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Ben Lively strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% -3.8% 3%

Walk +2.3% -0.1% 41%

In Play -4.3% +3.9% 39%

On Base +4.2% -1.2% 31%

Hit +1.9% -1.2% 14%

Single -0.6% -0.9% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +2.7% +0.3%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Ben Lively induces Standard Grounders at a 31.5% rate, which is 3.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -3.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% +2.0% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -3.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% +0.6% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -1.7% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +0.4% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +2.8% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +2.7%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 24.3% of batted balls allowed by Ben Lively are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -3.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -0.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +2.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +1.4% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +0.1%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 9.6% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% +2.2% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% -3.7% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% +2.2% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -1.3% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -2.2% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -1.8% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% +1.8% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +2.8%

Marcell Ozuna has 2 plate appearances against Ben Lively in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.10	0.00	0.00	0.10			0.048

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-04-28	Groundout			10%	90%
2024-04-28	Pop Out				100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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