Matchup Machine

Marcell Ozuna

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matchup for E. Rodriguez

411st out of 436 (Worst 6%)

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Eduardo Rodriguez

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matchup for Marcell Ozuna

152nd out of 568 (Best 28%)

Extreme advantage for Ozuna
9

Model Prediction

Marcell Ozuna has a 37.5% chance of reaching base vs Eduardo Rodriguez, which is 2.3% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 4.2% higher than batters facing Rodriguez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction37.5%25.3%3.6%6.3%15.5%12.2%25.9%
Ozuna+2.3+2.4+0.2+0.9+1.30.0-1.0
Rodriguez+4.2+0.5+0.7+0.5-0.6+3.7+2.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Marcell Ozuna is worse vs left-handed pitching. Eduardo Rodriguez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Eduardo Rodriguez throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
40%
   Changeup (L)
21%
   Cutter (L)
19%
   Sinker (L)
9%
   Slider (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Eduardo Rodriguez strikes out 16.2% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.0% +0.6% 3%         Walk +2.3% 0.0% 41%         In Play -4.3% -0.6% 39%         On Base +4.2% +0.0% 31%         Hit +1.9% +0.0% 14%         Single -0.6% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% +0.1% 3%         Home Run +2.7% -0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years