Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Taylor Rogers

226th out of 436 (Worst 48%)

Taylor Rogers

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

517th out of 568 (Worst 9%)

Moderate advantage for Rogers

Marcell Ozuna has a 31.0% chance of reaching base vs Taylor Rogers, which is 4.2% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Rogers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.0%	20.3%	2.9%	4.4%	13.0%	10.7%	36.5%
Ozuna	-4.2	-2.6	-0.4	-1.0	-1.2	-1.6	+9.7
Rogers	+1.0	-0.9	+0.4	+0.3	-1.5	+1.8	+8.0

Marcell Ozuna is worse vs left-handed pitching. Taylor Rogers is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Ozuna has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Taylor Rogers throws a Sinker 42% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (L)

42%

Slider (L)

38%

Curve (L)

11%

12% of Taylor Rogers's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+3%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 2%

-3%

41% of Taylor Rogers's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 26% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 41%

+26%

Breaking (L) 49%

+20%

Just Gravity 30%

+17%

Extreme Slow Velo 21%

+13%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Taylor Rogers strikes out 19.6% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +6.3% 3%

Walk +2.3% -1.5% 41%

In Play -4.3% -4.8% 39%

On Base +4.2% -1.7% 31%

Hit +1.9% -0.2% 14%

Single -0.6% +0.0% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% +0.0% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -0.3%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Taylor Rogers induces Standard Grounders at a 34.5% rate, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +1.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% +0.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% +2.1% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% +2.6% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -2.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% -1.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% +1.2% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -5.0% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +1.3%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 26.7% of batted balls allowed by Taylor Rogers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% +1.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -4.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -2.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% +2.4%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 11.4% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 0.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% +0.0% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% +2.9% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -0.7% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -1.2% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -2.3% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% 0.0% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% +1.6% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% -0.3%

Marcell Ozuna has 3 plate appearances against Taylor Rogers in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.74	0.00	0.00	0.74			0.247

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-05-15	Groundout			20%	80%
2022-05-13	Strikeout
2022-04-17	Groundout			54%	46%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe