Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Pierce Johnson

385th out of 436 (Worst 12%)

Pierce Johnson

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

427th out of 568 (Worst 25%)

Moderate advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 35.1% chance of reaching base vs Pierce Johnson, which is 0.1% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 5.1% higher than batters facing Johnson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.1%	19.9%	2.9%	4.6%	12.4%	15.2%	34.0%
Ozuna	-0.1	-3.1	-0.4	-0.8	-1.8	+3.0	+7.2
Johnson	+5.1	+0.2	+0.3	+0.1	-0.2	+4.9	+3.6

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Pierce Johnson is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Pierce Johnson throws a Curve 58% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has a B grade against right-handed Curves

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Curve (R)

58%

4-Seam (R)

35%

6% of Pierce Johnson's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-2%

35% of Pierce Johnson's pitches are classified as Large Drop, which is 30% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Drop 35%

+30%

Breaking (R) 60%

+29%

Slow Velo 39%

+24%

Medium Break 33%

+24%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Pierce Johnson strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 7.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +7.4% 3%

Walk +2.3% +1.3% 41%

In Play -4.3% -8.7% 39%

On Base +4.2% -3.2% 31%

Hit +1.9% -4.6% 14%

Single -0.6% -2.4% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -2.4% 3%

Home Run +2.7% +0.2%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Pierce Johnson induces Standard Grounders at a 35.1% rate, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% +0.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% 0.0% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -1.2% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% +0.6% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +0.4% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +0.6% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +0.5%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 22.0% of batted balls allowed by Pierce Johnson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -2.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +6.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% -2.3%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% -1.0% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% +2.8% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -0.8% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% +0.5% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% +2.1% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -2.5% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% +0.7% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% -1.6%

Marcell Ozuna has 2 plate appearances against Pierce Johnson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.002

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-06-15	Pop Out				100%
2022-04-15	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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