Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Buck Farmer

364th out of 436 (Worst 17%)

Buck Farmer

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

349th out of 568 (Worst 39%)

Strong advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 35.1% chance of reaching base vs Buck Farmer, which is 0.1% higher than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 3.4% higher than batters facing Farmer.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.1%	22.7%	3.6%	4.7%	14.4%	12.3%	30.8%
Ozuna	-0.1	-0.2	+0.3	-0.7	+0.3	+0.1	+4.0
Farmer	+3.4	+1.0	+0.7	-0.1	+0.4	+2.4	+3.9

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Buck Farmer is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Buck Farmer throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

45%

Slider (R)

27%

Changeup (R)

23%

8% of Buck Farmer's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Strong Challenge 5%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

44% of Buck Farmer's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 44%

+23%

Offspeed (R) 23%

+12%

Very Slow Velo 23%

+9%

Small Drop 22%

+9%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Buck Farmer strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +0.8% 3%

Walk +2.3% +0.9% 41%

In Play -4.3% -1.7% 39%

On Base +4.2% -2.0% 31%

Hit +1.9% -2.9% 14%

Single -0.6% -1.6% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -1.4% 3%

Home Run +2.7% +0.2%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Buck Farmer induces Standard Grounders at a 32.6% rate, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -1.2% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -1.3% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -1.1% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% 0.0% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +0.3% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +4.3%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 22.3% of batted balls allowed by Buck Farmer are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% +1.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +2.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% -0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -1.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% -2.0%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 11.6% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% -1.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% -0.8% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -0.7% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -2.0% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -1.3% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% +0.2% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% -0.1% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +6.3%

Marcell Ozuna has 2 plate appearances against Buck Farmer in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.09	0.03	0.05	0.01			0.045

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-06-23	Flyout	3%	5%		91%
2023-04-12	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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