Matchup Machine

Marcell Ozuna

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matchup for Yimi Garcia

388th out of 436 (Worst 11%)

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Yimi Garcia

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matchup for Marcell Ozuna

492nd out of 568 (Worst 14%)

Leans in favor of Garcia
1

Model Prediction

Marcell Ozuna has a 31.2% chance of reaching base vs Yimi Garcia, which is 4.0% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 4.7% higher than batters facing Garcia.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.2%17.8%3.7%4.3%9.8%13.4%34.0%
Ozuna-4.0-5.2+0.3-1.1-4.4+1.2+7.2
Garcia+4.7-0.4+0.50.0-1.0+5.2+1.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Yimi Garcia is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Yimi Garcia throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
41%
   Curve (R)
23%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Sinker (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Yimi Garcia strikes out 17.5% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.0% +4.2% 3%         Walk +2.3% -1.5% 41%         In Play -4.3% -2.7% 39%         On Base +4.2% -6.2% 31%         Hit +1.9% -4.7% 14%         Single -0.6% -2.7% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% -2.7% 3%         Home Run +2.7% +0.7%

History

No History in the last 3 years