Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Albert Suarez

384th out of 436 (Worst 12%)

Albert Suarez

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

304th out of 568 (Worst 47%)

Strong advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 32.8% chance of reaching base vs Albert Suarez, which is 2.4% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Suarez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.8%	22.0%	4.1%	5.5%	12.4%	10.7%	23.2%
Ozuna	-2.4	-0.9	+0.8	+0.1	-1.8	-1.5	-3.6
Suarez	+2.9	+0.1	+0.7	+0.1	-0.7	+2.8	+3.4

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Albert Suarez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Albert Suarez throws a 4-seam fastball 46% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

46%

Cutter (R)

17%

Curve (R)

16%

Changeup (R)

15%

15% of Albert Suarez's pitches are classified as Non-Competitive, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Non-Competitive 15%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+0%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Meatball 6%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-2%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

29% of Albert Suarez's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 29%

+14%

Fastball (R) 66%

+12%

Medium Ride 23%

+9%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Albert Suarez strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% -3.4% 3%

Walk +2.3% -1.6% 41%

In Play -4.3% +5.0% 39%

On Base +4.2% -2.0% 31%

Hit +1.9% -0.4% 14%

Single -0.6% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -0.4% 3%

Home Run +2.7% +0.8%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Albert Suarez induces Standard Grounders at a 33.5% rate, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -0.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -1.0% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -0.7% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% +1.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -0.3% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% +0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +0.8% 3%

Pop up +0.0% -0.3%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 22.0% of batted balls allowed by Albert Suarez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% +0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -0.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +0.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% -2.3%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 13.6% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 2.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.0% -2.7% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% +0.5% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% +0.9% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% +1.9% 15%

19 to 28° +0.8% -2.9% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% +2.2% 7%

39 to 50° 0.0% +0.6% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% -0.6%

Marcell Ozuna has 3 plate appearances against Albert Suarez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	0.500
Expected From Contact →			0.86	0.00	0.02	0.84			0.429

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-11	Single		2%	84%	14%
2024-06-11	Walk
2024-06-11	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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