Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Marcell Ozuna

matchup for Gerrit Cole

375th out of 436 (Worst 14%)

Gerrit Cole

matchup for Marcell Ozuna

364th out of 568 (Worst 36%)

Moderate advantage for Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna has a 34.5% chance of reaching base vs Gerrit Cole, which is 0.6% lower than Ozuna's typical expectations, and 3.9% higher than batters facing Cole.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.5%	21.8%	2.9%	5.3%	13.6%	12.7%	26.8%
Ozuna	-0.6	-1.2	-0.4	-0.1	-0.6	+0.5	-0.1
Cole	+3.9	-0.4	+0.4	-0.2	-0.6	+4.4	+3.9

Marcell Ozuna is better vs right-handed pitching. Gerrit Cole is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Ozuna has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Gerrit Cole throws a 4-seam fastball 50% of the time. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

50%

Slider (R)

21%

Kn-Curve (R)

13%

Cutter (R)

Changeup (R)

8% of Gerrit Cole's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 2%

-4%

27% of Gerrit Cole's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Marcell Ozuna has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 27%

+18%

High Ride 27%

+17%

Small Break 20%

+9%

15.8% of Marcell Ozuna's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Gerrit Cole strikes out 21.9% of the batters he faces, which is 8.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +8.6% 3%

Walk +2.3% -2.2% 41%

In Play -4.3% -6.4% 39%

On Base +4.2% -6.2% 31%

Hit +1.9% -4.0% 14%

Single -0.6% -1.9% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% -1.7% 3%

Home Run +2.7% -0.4%

31.3% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Gerrit Cole induces Standard Grounders at a 32.9% rate, which is 1.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -1.5% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -0.1% 14%

Low Screamer -1.4% -0.2% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% +0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.7% +0.1% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -0.8% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% -0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +2.7% 3%

Pop up +0.0% +0.1%

33.9% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. 23.8% of batted balls allowed by Gerrit Cole are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.1% -1.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% 0.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.0% +1.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +0.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.6% -0.5%

12.0% of Marcell Ozuna's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 11.9% of batted balls allowed by Marcell Ozuna are hit at this angle, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%